1/17/2006

Cook Political Report

Dear SNAP
Just passing along the information from the Jan 13th COOK Political Report. Here is the list of competive house races.
Likely Democrats
CA 20th Jim Costa
KS 3rd Dennis Moore
IN 7th Julia Carson[Snap PAC Endorsed]
NY 1st Tim Bishop
NY 27th Brian Higgins
ND AL Earl Pomeroy
OR 5th Darlene Hooley
SC 5th John Spratt
SD AL Stephaine Herseth
TN 04 Lincoln Davis
UT 02 Jim Matheson
11 total
Lean Democratic
CO 3rd John Salazar
GA 8th Jim Marshall
GA 12th John Barrow
IA 3rd Leonard Boswell
LA 3rd Charlie Melacon
TX 17th Chet Edwards
WA 2nd Rick Larsen
VT AL Open Seat
8 total
Toss UP
IL 8th Melissa Bean
OH 6th Open Seat[Strickland]
Total 2
Likely Republican
AZ 1st Rick Renzi
CA 11th Richard Pombo
C0 4th Marilyn Musgrave
CT 5th Nancy Johnson[Snap Pac Endorsed Opponent Chris Murphy]
FL 8th Ric Keller
FL 9th [Open Seat] Bilirakis
FL 13th [Open Seat] Harris
Il 6th [Open Seat] Hyde
KY 2nd Ron Lewis
KY 3rd Anne Northup
LA 7th Charles Boustany
MN 2nd John Kline
NV 2nd Open Seat [Gibbons]
NV 3rd Jon Porter
NH 2nd Charlie Bass
NJ 7th Mike Ferguson
NY 20th John Sweeney
NY 29th Randy Kuhl
NC 8th Robin Hayes
OH 1st Steve Chabot
OH 15th Deborag Pryce
PA 7th Curt Weldon
PA 10th Don Sherwood
Total 24
Lean Republican
CA 50th Open Seat [Cunningham]
CT 2nd Rob Simmons[ Snap Pac Endorsed Joe Courtney]
CT 4th Chris Shays [Snap Pac Endorsed Diane Farrell]
FL 22nd Clay Shaw
IN 2nd Chris Chocola
MN 6th Open Seat[Kennedy]
NC 11th Charles Taylor
PA 8th Mike Fitzpatrick
WA 8th Dave Reichert
WI 8th Open Seat [Green]
Total 9
Toss UP
AZ 8th Open Seat[Kolbe]
CO 7th Open Seat[Beauprez]
IA Open Seat [Nussle]
IN 8th John Hostettler
IN 9th Mike Sodrel
NM 1st Heather Wilson
OH 18th Bob Ney
PA 6th Jim Gerlach[Snap PAC Endorsed Lois Murphy]
TX 22nd Tom Delay[Snap PAC Endorsed Nick Lampson]
Total 9

So these are the 63 races where control will most likely be decided though I think
Democrats might but a few more into play. Such as the CA 26th,FL 16th IL 11th KY 4th
MI 7th MI 8th MI 9th MI 11th NJ 3rd NY 3rd NY 19th NY 24th NY 25th VA 2nd VA 5th VA 11th.
Maybe a few more depending on candidates and some of these could fall out.