9/26/2005

PA 8 The type of district we can swing

There was a new poll out in the PA 8th which I am sharing with you now as a type of oppurunity that we can help win.


With a changing political landscape that is currently punishing Republicans at all levels, Freshman Republican Congressman Mike Fitzpatrick is vulnerable going into 2006. Fitzpatrick is below 50% against a virtually unknown opponent – a dangerous sign for an incumbent.

· This is a competitive district where Democrats have a four-point advantage over Republicans on the Generic Ballot (40% Democrat / 36% Republican) – a three-point gain from a year ago.

· A majority (54%) of likely voters have an unfavorable opinion of President Bush – three points higher than last year.

· Mike Fitzpatrick currently leads Patrick Murphy by only a 46% to 35% margin with 19% still undecided. Despite the fact that Fitzpatrick has a Total Name ID advantage over Murphy of almost a 4-to-1 margin (88% Fitzpatrick Total Name ID / 23% Murphy) in Bucks County, the incumbent can’t reach 50%.

· One-third (32%) of likely voters in Bucks County gave Mike Fitzpatrick a negative job rating just nine months into his first term – a troubling sign for any incumbent.

· Nearly two-thirds (61%) of all likely voters in Bucks County believe, “Abortions should be available to women who choose to have them.” Mike Fitzpatrick opposes a woman’s right to choose even in extreme cases like rape and incest.